Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
FRI
2 - 1
BAN
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RES
0 - 3
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
BAN
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
DUQ
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
BOT
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BOT
26%
27%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |