Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BON
1 - 1
BAN
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
OLA
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
BAN
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
DUQ
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VOL
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
BON
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |