Bangor vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
0 - 1
BAL
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DON
1 - 3
BAN
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
AUN
1 - 3
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
LIS
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
BAN
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 1
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 1
INS
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 4
INS
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
INS
3 - 0
LCE
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |