Banga vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
9º
8º
25
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KZA
0 - 1
BAN
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 1
DAI
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
DTE
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 3
TRA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 2
FAS
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
PAN
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HLI
2 - 1
ZAL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SUD
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 0
ZAL
37%
27%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
KZA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |