Urartu II vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
6º
41
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urartu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 2
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 0
BAN
46%
23%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
BAN
60%
20%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 4
WAR
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MIK
1 - 1
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
PYU
20%
21%
59%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
ARA
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
SHI
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
2 - 1
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |