Bałtyk Gdynia vs Nowe Skalmierzyce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
64.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
13º
18º
17º
54
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 35 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 28 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bałtyk Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 2
BAL
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
VIN
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SOK
2 - 1
BAL
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 4
USK
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SKO
2 - 0
BAL
81%
14%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Nowe Skalmierzyce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NOW
0 - 2
USW
68%
17%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 0
STA
42%
24%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 1
NOW
24%
20%
56%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NOW
1 - 2
VIN
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SOK
2 - 3
NOW
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |