Baltimore vs Mirebalais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
29.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
ASM
34%
30%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
BAL
55%
27%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
FIC
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FIC
1 - 0
BAL
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
PET
0 - 0
BAL
48%
30%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirebalais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
ASM
34%
30%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
2 - 2
FIC
39%
31%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
FIC
1 - 1
ASM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASM
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
BAL
46%
32%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |