Baltimore vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
28%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
VIO
44%
32%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OUA
0 - 0
BAL
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
BAL
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
FIC
34%
33%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 0
BAL
41%
32%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AIG
2 - 0
PET
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AIG
1 - 1
GON
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 1
AIG
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
AIG
0 - 0
RDC
34%
28%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
AIG
0 - 1
OUA
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |