Baltimore vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
28.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
BAL
42%
30%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
TEM
39%
32%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
AME
0 - 0
BAL
52%
28%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAV
47%
31%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FIC
0 - 0
BAL
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
2 - 1
FIC
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 1
AIG
34%
31%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
AIG
1 - 1
DON
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
AIG
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
AIG
1 - 1
VIC
41%
32%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |