Baltar vs Caíde Rei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2015 |
AEI
6 - 2
BAL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 2
BAL
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 4
NUN
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
LIV
49%
23%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATA
1 - 2
BAL
72%
17%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caíde Rei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAI
5 - 3
MEL
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NUN
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 1
AEI
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 1
CAI
40%
23%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |