Balmain Tigers vs Kirrawee Kangaroos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
52.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balmain Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
CSF
1 - 4
BAL
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
RSU
1 - 2
BAL
25%
20%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SDR
5 - 1
BAL
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 6
MEL
3%
8%
88%
|
13 | 77 | 64 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
WNM
0 - 3
BAL
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kirrawee Kangaroos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
NFC
1 - 2
KKF
58%
19%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
RRF
1 - 7
KKF
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
KKF
3 - 0
NER
62%
18%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
KKF
0 - 6
BLA
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
KKF
8 - 1
WWF
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |