Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
BAL
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 2
BAL
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 1
LOR
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
LCF
2 - 1
BAL
30%
25%
44%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TOU
2 - 0
TOF
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
SAG
0 - 0
TOU
28%
28%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BER
2 - 1
TOU
37%
27%
37%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
TOU
0 - 0
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GDB
0 - 1
TOU
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |