Balma vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 3
BAL
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
TOU
33%
28%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
4 - 2
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
NIO
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIO
0 - 0
LIM
58%
20%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
NIO
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NIO
1 - 0
LEG
46%
22%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |