Balma vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
TOU
0 - 1
BAL
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAS
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GAP
1 - 0
BAL
71%
19%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BAL
0 - 0
ALB
28%
27%
45%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AND
1 - 0
BAL
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 1
EPM
66%
20%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FRE
0 - 0
NIC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 2
GAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |