Balma vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
TOF
1 - 1
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 2
PSG
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
BAL
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
RED
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 1
TOF
70%
20%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PSG
2 - 0
NIO
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 2
FCL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RED
1 - 0
NIO
18%
27%
55%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NIO
2 - 0
YZE
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |