Balma vs Aviron Bayonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 0
BAL
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
BER
38%
27%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LES
1 - 0
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
BAL
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
ROD
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 0
AGD
53%
25%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
2 - 4
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAY
1 - 1
BLA
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
BAY
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |