Ballymena United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 0
BAL
56%
22%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 3
LAR
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
23%
20%
57%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
GLE
3 - 1
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
INS
0 - 3
LIN
8%
19%
73%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
INS
1 - 1
GLE
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 1
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 1
INS
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
INS
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |