Ballymena United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LOU
1 - 0
BAL
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
BAL
0 - 7
OBK
28%
23%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
OBK
0 - 0
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
INS
2 - 1
POR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 1
INS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
LIM
2 - 0
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
INS
0 - 4
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |