Ballymacash Rangers vs Portstewart analysis

Ballymacash Rangers Portstewart
53 ELO 40
7.5% Tilt 1.6%
3875º General ELO ranking 7053º
27º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
78.7%
Ballymacash Rangers
13.9%
Draw
7.4%
Portstewart

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
Ballymacash Rangers
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.4%
Win probability
Portstewart
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymacash Rangers
-32%
+62%
Portstewart

Points and table prediction

Ballymacash Rangers
Their league position
Portstewart
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
21
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bangor
53
57
100%
Ballymacash Rangers
44
47
78%
Queens University Belfast
45
45
78%
Limavady
35
39
99%
Moyola Park
29
32
80.5%
Lisburn Distillery
27
28
30.5%
Dollingstown
24
27
25.5%
Tobermore United
25
26
41.5%
Banbridge Town
10º
20
23
65.5%
Portstewart
21
21
10º
75%
Armagh City
11º
17
18
11º
88.5%
PSNI
12º
11
14
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ballymacash Rangers
Portstewart
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ballymacash Rangers
Portstewart
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymacash Rangers
Ballymacash Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
QUB
Queens University Belfast
0 - 3
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
45%
24%
31%
52 50 2 0
17 Feb. 2023
BAN
Bangor
2 - 0
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
54%
22%
24%
54 55 1 -2
11 Feb. 2023
LIM
Limavady
1 - 1
Ballymacash Rangers
BRF
41%
25%
34%
54 51 3 0
04 Feb. 2023
BRF
Ballymacash Rangers
5 - 0
PSNI
PSN
87%
10%
4%
54 25 29 0
28 Jan. 2023
BRF
Ballymacash Rangers
2 - 2
Armagh City
ARC
77%
14%
8%
54 40 14 0

Matches

Portstewart
Portstewart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
POR
Portstewart
0 - 0
Moyola Park
MOY
23%
23%
54%
38 47 9 0
25 Feb. 2023
BAN
Bangor
4 - 0
Portstewart
POR
85%
11%
5%
39 56 17 -1
11 Feb. 2023
POR
Portstewart
0 - 2
Banbridge Town
BAN
32%
25%
44%
40 45 5 -1
04 Feb. 2023
TOB
Tobermore United
2 - 3
Portstewart
POR
33%
22%
45%
40 32 8 0
28 Jan. 2023
PSN
PSNI
1 - 2
Portstewart
POR
24%
21%
56%
39 26 13 +1