Ballyclare Comrades vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
DOL
1 - 0
BAL
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEY
71%
17%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
BAL
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
LOU
38%
24%
37%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
NEY
2 - 0
INS
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
INS
1 - 1
LIM
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 2
INS
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
INS
3 - 1
BAN
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |