Ballyclare Comrades vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
9º
5º
34
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
ARD
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
BAL
46%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
KNO
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
5 - 1
INS
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
BAL
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
ARD
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
INS
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |