Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 0
ARC
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
AUN
1 - 0
BAL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 1
HAR
25%
24%
52%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
INS
3 - 3
NEY
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 6
AUN
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
INS
2 - 3
ARD
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ARC
1 - 2
INS
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
INS
0 - 0
BAN
16%
22%
63%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |