Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
6º
4º
36
4º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
41 | 9 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 8 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 8 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
53 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
HAR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
DER
1 - 0
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
KNO
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NEY
4 - 1
BAL
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 2
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
NEY
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
INS
1 - 1
DER
29%
25%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
INS
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 2
INS
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KNO
2 - 3
INS
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |