NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 5-4
Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 2
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 0
WAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
INS
31%
25%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 4
INS
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
ARD
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |