Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
5 - 1
INS
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CLI
5 - 1
INS
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRU
3 - 1
INS
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
BAL
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |