Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DER
0 - 1
BAL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIM
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 0
BAL
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
LOU
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 3
INS
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
LIM
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
BAN
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
BMF
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |