Ballinamallard United vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 1
TOB
37%
25%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
TOB
2 - 0
BAL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 0
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 3
POR
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 1
COA
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAN
4 - 3
INS
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
INS
3 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
COA
0 - 0
INS
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |