Ballinamallard United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
ARD
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 3
BAL
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 1
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 2
BAN
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 2
DUN
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
DON
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 4
BAL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |