Ballinamallard United vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 2
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 3
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
GLE
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
NFC
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 13 | 54 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
CRU
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |