Ballarat Red Devils vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
BRD
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 2
WEC
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
HUM
0 - 1
BRD
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 1
DAN
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRD
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
OAK
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
GOU
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
4 - 3
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
MEL
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 2
HEU
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |