Ballarat Red Devils vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 4
POR
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BRD
1 - 2
SOU
14%
19%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 2
BRD
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
HEU
4 - 2
BRD
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
BRD
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
HEU
4 - 0
GRE
29%
24%
48%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 2
BEN
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
GOU
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
OAK
6 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |