Ballarat Red Devils vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballarat Red Devils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRD
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
POR
3 - 1
BRD
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
WEC
1 - 3
BRD
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
BRD
5 - 5
HEU
16%
19%
66%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
BRD
0 - 1
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
WEC
2 - 1
DAN
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
NOR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 2
PAS
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 1
BEN
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 4
MEL
47%
25%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |