Balkan vs Şagadam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AHA
3 - 1
BAL
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AGA
1 - 0
BAL
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
ALT
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 0
TAL
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Şagadam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AGA
10 - 0
BAG
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 4
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AHA
5 - 0
AGA
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AGA
4 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AGA
0 - 0
AGA
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |