Balkan Varvara vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan Varvara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
STR
0 - 0
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
MES
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
OFK
1 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 63 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 2
VIH
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SLI
3 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 0
OBO
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SEP
0 - 2
SEP
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 0
SPO
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
SEP
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SEP
2 - 1
CHE
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |