Balkan Varvara vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan Varvara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIH
4 - 1
BAL
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
BEL
33%
23%
45%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
RIL
4 - 1
BAL
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 2
SOF
86%
9%
4%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
4 - 2
BAL
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SLI
0 - 2
CSK
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
CSK
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CSK
3 - 0
GER
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CSK
3 - 0
FKV
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VIH
1 - 5
CSK
11%
23%
66%
|
64 | 28 | 36 | 0 |