Nebitçi vs Merw analysis


56	ELO	54
2.1%	Tilt	0.6%
6062º	General ELO ranking	6764º
6º	Country ELO ranking	8º
ELO win probability

50.6%

Nebitçi

24.4%

Draw

25.1%

Merw

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

50.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%

24.4%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

11.6%

2-2

5.2%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

24.4%

25.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-38%

-49%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nebitçi

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
22 Aug. 2017	AHA 2 - 0 BFT 51% 23% 26%	55	55
19 Aug. 2017	EFT 4 - 1 BFT 49% 24% 27%	55	55
12 Aug. 2017	ALT 5 - 2 BFT 52% 24% 25%	55	55
05 Aug. 2017	BFT 3 - 0 DAO 43% 24% 33%	55	55
01 Jul. 2017	BFT 1 - 1 ALT 48% 24% 29%	55	55

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
19 Aug. 2017	DAO 0 - 2 MER 48% 25% 26%	55	55
16 Aug. 2017	AGA 2 - 0 MER 44% 27% 29%	55	55
12 Aug. 2017	MER 0 - 0 KAS 46% 25% 30%	55	55
05 Aug. 2017	AGA 1 - 2 MER 45% 27% 28%	55	55
04 Jul. 2017	ALT 3 - 0 MER 52% 25% 24%	55	55