Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
9º
7º
19
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 15 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 14 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 13 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 12 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 11 |
8º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 11 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balkan Botevgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
VIH
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KOS
0 - 1
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
FKK
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
5 - 1
LER
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SLI
2 - 0
CSK
14%
22%
63%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
CSK
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
LSO
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |