Balk vs Winsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 1
BAL
51%
21%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 2
ZMV
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PKC
0 - 1
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BQD
2 - 0
BAL
50%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 3
HZV
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
BQD
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 3
WIN
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 2
HZV
34%
22%
45%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 2
WIN
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
SVB
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |