Balk vs Gorecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 0
BQD
40%
23%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HZV
3 - 1
BAL
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
NOO
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 1
DRA
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ORA
3 - 3
BAL
71%
17%
13%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GOR
0 - 3
HZV
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
VVG
1 - 1
GOR
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
GOR
1 - 1
SVB
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GOR
3 - 7
ORA
25%
20%
55%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NOO
1 - 3
GOR
64%
17%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |