Balk vs VEV '67 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ORA
0 - 0
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 0
BQD
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GRC
4 - 2
BAL
47%
23%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
NOO
50%
24%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 0
BAL
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
VEV '67
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
PKC
5 - 2
VEV
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VEV
0 - 1
BQD
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
VEV
3 - 5
NOO
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
VEV
5 - 1
GOR
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VEV
0 - 5
DRA
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |