Balga vs Floreat Athena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
81.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
4 - 1
SRP
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 4
SOS
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Floreat Athena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
1 - 5
PEG
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
7 - 2
JOO
89%
8%
4%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
FLO
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 0
BAL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 1
ECU
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |