Balerna vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
64.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balerna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
EMM
6 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
IBA
7 - 1
BAL
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 2
TAV
20%
22%
58%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FCA
6 - 0
BAL
79%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
GOL
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ASC
3 - 2
HER
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
ESC
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
EMM
2 - 4
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
FCB
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HER
1 - 2
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |