Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Last 16
Global 2-2
Baldor Bermeo Cabrera vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baldor Bermeo Cabrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 2
BBC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
BBC
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BBC
2 - 1
LFC
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BBC
5 - 1
SAC
69%
18%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 4
BBC
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 2
BBC
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ISP
0 - 2
QUI
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 0
ISP
72%
17%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
QUI
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
DUN
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |