Balconada B vs Palillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.8%
11.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balconada B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FON
3 - 5
BAL
32%
21%
47%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
5 - 1
AFC
75%
13%
12%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
2 - 6
BSY
33%
21%
46%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SUR
0 - 4
BAL
41%
20%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 4
BAL
31%
20%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Palillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 7
BSY
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SUR
4 - 0
PAL
32%
20%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PAL
3 - 3
SAN
78%
13%
10%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PIP
1 - 3
PAL
33%
21%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FRU
4 - 1
PAL
56%
19%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |