Balconada B vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
72.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balconada B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CLL
5 - 0
BAL
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 11
AVI
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SSC
7 - 1
BAL
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
4 - 10
PUI
19%
17%
64%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
7 - 1
BAL
87%
9%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIR
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OLV
0 - 4
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 0
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NVC
1 - 5
CAS
25%
20%
56%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
SLM
53%
20%
27%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |