Balcatta vs NTC Western analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
7.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balcatta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAL
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 3
FLO
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ECU
4 - 1
BAL
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 0
STI
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BUN
0 - 1
BAL
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NTC Western
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
COC
3 - 2
NTW
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAY
4 - 2
NTW
86%
10%
5%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FLO
5 - 2
NTW
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ECU
4 - 2
NTW
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
STI
3 - 4
NTW
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |