Balaguer vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balaguer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ALP
2 - 3
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
SUB
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RUB
0 - 3
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
RAP
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAL
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 2
UES
7%
15%
78%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UDV
2 - 0
MOR
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
UDV
3 - 0
MOR
83%
12%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
ALP
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SUB
1 - 0
MOR
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |