Balagne vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
8º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
BAL
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
NIC
29%
22%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
RSV
23%
21%
57%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +4 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
BAL
69%
17%
15%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
CAS
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
3 - 4
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |