Bala Town vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
5º
20
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
CAE
1 - 5
BAL
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
FLI
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
BAL
12%
21%
66%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PON
3 - 2
HAV
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
PON
0 - 1
PEN
16%
24%
61%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 2
PON
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |