Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 3-4
Bala Town vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 1
TNS
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
4 - 1
POR
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DIF
1 - 1
F91
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 2
JEU
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 4
DIF
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 2
JEU
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |